What’s going on in Mexico?

When Mexico reported large numbers of deaths due to H1N1 last April, the world was alarmed. Within Mexico, it was a national crisis. So many people were seriously ill and dying that hospitals were on the verge of collapse. Health care workers were abandoning their stations because they had seen too many colleagues die.

I check flu stories every day. Yet, I rarely see any about the status of the pandemic in Mexico. Thus, it was quite a surprise when I checked Google Flu Trends for Mexico and saw that many States are experiencing “Moderate” flu activity and one, Quintana Roo, is experiencing “High” flu activity. In fact, according to Google Flu Trends, Mexico as a whole has been experiencing higher rates of flu activity than the initial spring outbreak peak  since November 2009.

So, what’s going on? I think there are three possibilities:

1. Google Flu Trends is wrong.

2. Mexican public health authorities have gotten much better at treating H1N1 cases.

3. Large numbers of deaths are being hidden.

If there really are significant numbers of pandemic flu cases in Mexico occurring now, it may not be long before we start to see increasing numbers of cases in US border states. So, it might be worthwhile contacting Mexican health care workers today to ask them what is going on in Mexico.

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2 Comments

Filed under Outbreak

2 responses to “What’s going on in Mexico?

  1. peak was ~1st Oct
    much down since then
    Qintana Roo is near Yucatan Cancun,
    distant from USA

    http://portal.salud.gob.mx/sites/salud/descargas/pdf/influenza/situacion_actual_epidemia_100210.pdf

  2. monotreme1000

    Well, it depends which information source is more accurate, Mexican health authorities or Google Flu trends.

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