Phony Preppers
There have been many surprises with this pandemic. One of the biggest is that stone-cold, apparently dedicated doomsters, have completely changed their stripes once a real, honest-to-God pandemic started. For political and economic reasons, they have joined the soothers and “risk communicators” in downplaying the pandemic. I did not see that one coming. I guess short of an “Omega Man” Scenario, these pseudo-preppers will downplay anything that impacts their profit margins. Good to know now who are the real preppers and who are the phonies.
Infection Fatality Rate Revisited
It has been maddeningly difficult to find out what percent of the people infected with SARS-2 die. This is because a large number of variables are in play. These include: age, gender and pre-exising conditions. I would like to add another variable for consideration: amount of virus that an individual is exposed to. It is well known that, with many viruses, under controlled conditions, the amount of virus an animal is exposed to will affect how sick the animal will get and whether they will die. I suspect the same thing is true with SARS-2. This explains why so many health care workers (HCW), even wearing N95s, got sick and died when their hospitals were filled with Covid patients. One HCW said that they “were swimming in Covid”. Under these conditions, there were likely very high levels of virus in the air and HCWs were being infected with large amounts of virus. Perhaps people who get exposed at backyard barbeques are exposed to much lower levels and hence less likely to get very ill. If so, then I predict that once the hospitals start to fill up again with Covid patients, SARS-2 levels in the hospitals will rise and HCWs will start to get infected, even if they are wearing N95s. Further, I predict that getting infected in a hospital setting will increase the odds that a HCW/patient will become very ill and die. I hope I am wrong about this. We will find out in the next 1 – 3 months.
China, China, China
I end on my obligatory China note. Check out “Global Times” for the current thinking of Xi Jinping. This maniac has lost all touch with reality. No one within the Chinese government dares contradict him. He is quite mad, now, as I expected would happen when he became an absolute dictator. The only people he listens to are stupid, arrogant officers in the PLA who have never seen battle and have completely unrealistic assessments of their fighting capability. This is dangerous. These guys will not hesitate to use cyber attacks (those have already started), EMPs, nuclear weapons, and yes, biological weapons. And the Chinese Communist Party sympathizers in the US and elsewhere praise Xi for his promises to make China carbon neutral. This would almost be funny if it didn’t make it more likely that we will be attacked.
The next time someone praises Xi Jinping or makes a false equivalency between China and the United States, please send them this article:
David Stavrou, Haaretz, October 17, 2019