Category Archives: Science

New Ebola – Evolution of a Virus

Recently, a paper describing the sequencing of many samples from patients in Sierra Leone with Ebola was published in Science by Gire et al.: Genomic surveillance elucidates Ebola virus origin and transmission during the 2014 outbreak There have been many … Continue reading

Posted in Outbreak, public health, Science | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

New Ebola can spread by people without obvious signs of the disease

From CNN, July 29, 2014 Brantly’s family had been with him in Liberia, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, but left for the United States before he became symptomatic; as such it is highly unlikely that they … Continue reading

Posted in Outbreak, pathology, public health, Science | 1 Comment

Two ways Ebola could become a pandemic

Here are two possible ways Ebola could become a pandemic: 1. It could slow down. In the past, Ebola patients were only infectious when they were very ill and obviously infected with this disease. If the virus were to change … Continue reading

Posted in Outbreak, public health, Science | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Virus Storm

The number of lethal new viruses now assaulting the human species is striking: MERS/SARS2 H5N1 H7N9 H10N8 pH1N1 Since all of these viruses can kill otherwise healthy young adults, when a new outbreak of an infectious agent occurs, it can … Continue reading

Posted in Outbreak, Science | Tagged , , , ,

Thousands of unreported H7N9 flu cases in China

Recent news stories have highlighted a new “study” suggesting that the actual case fatality rate for H7N9 is lower than the apparent 30% rate. What most of these stories don’t mention is that to achieve these lower rates, the authors … Continue reading

Posted in Outbreak, Science | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

H7N9 case in Taiwan – Implications for a pandemic

The recent report of a businesman who traveled to China and came back with a severe case of H7N9 has implications for the probability of a pandemic. The population of Taiwan is only about 23 million. I don’t know how … Continue reading

Posted in Outbreak, public health, Science | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

H7N9 sequencing in China – Where is BGI?

There have been some news stories recently suggesting that although the Chinese authorities are doing their best, they just don’t have the experience or resources to properly test or sequence the samples they have. This is complete nonsense written by … Continue reading

Posted in Outbreak, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments