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Category Archives: Outbreak
Immaculate Infection – Death from Dubai
The recent SARS2 (new SARS) infection of a French visitor to Dubai, which is part of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), is a bit of a mystery. Because government officials from the UAE claim that they have no cases of … Continue reading
Two pandemics? SARS 2 and H7N9
There are currently two viruses with apparent pandemic potential circulating in the world today – SARS 2 (nCoV) and H7N9. Although many details are being suppressed, SARS 2 appears to be spreading human to human: From Gulf News, May 6, … Continue reading
Posted in Outbreak, public health
Tagged China, coronavirus, flu, H7N9, influenza, nCoV, pandemic, SARS, Saudi Arabia
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H7N9 case in Taiwan – Implications for a pandemic
The recent report of a businesman who traveled to China and came back with a severe case of H7N9 has implications for the probability of a pandemic. The population of Taiwan is only about 23 million. I don’t know how … Continue reading
H7N9 sequencing in China – Where is BGI?
There have been some news stories recently suggesting that although the Chinese authorities are doing their best, they just don’t have the experience or resources to properly test or sequence the samples they have. This is complete nonsense written by … Continue reading
How to stop a H9N7 pandemic – containment
Although officially all cases of H7N9 have resulted from bird to human contact, there are strong indications that this assertion is false: 1. There is no virological link between between birds and affected humans. 2. Mutations have been found in … Continue reading
H7N9 adaptation to humans – evidence for ongoing human to human transmission
From The University of Wisconsin-Madison News, April 12, 2013 A genetic analysis of the avian flu virus responsible for at least nine human deaths in China portrays a virus evolving to adapt to human cells, raising concern about its potential … Continue reading
The Chinese military and flu as a biological weapon
In a speech alleged to have been written in 2005 by Chi Haotian, then Minster of Defense and vice-chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, he is reported as saying the following: What kind of special means is there available for … Continue reading
Posted in Outbreak
Tagged biological weapons, bioweapon, Chi Haotian, China, flu, H7N9, influenza, pandemic
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H7N9 – Cover-up in China
From The South China Morning Post, April 10, 2013 [hat-tip, Pixie] The first weibo post about the H7N9 avian influenza emerged as early as March 7, three weeks before local authorities alerted the public, said the report. An anonymous blogger … Continue reading
H7N9 – R0 vs CFR
16 people have been reported infected with H7N9 in China thus far. 6 of them have died. This represents a case fatality rate (CFR) of almost 40%. This would place H7N9 among the most lethal diseases known to man. However, … Continue reading
Posted in Outbreak
Tagged case fatality rate, CFR, China, flu, H7N9, influenza, pandemic, R0, Shanghai, superspreader
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H7N9 Flu Epidemic in China
I believe the recent increase in reported cases, the widening geographical spread of the virus and the evidence that H7N9 is now at least partially adapted to humans qualifies the current situation as an epidemic in China. NTDV, April 3, … Continue reading
